The Lens of Expected Value

To use this lens, think about the chance of different events occurring in your game, and what those mean to your player. Ask yourself these questions:

• What is the actual chance of a certain event occurring?
• What is the perceived chance?
• What value does the outcome of that event have? Can the value be quantified? Are there intangible aspects of value that I am not considering?
• Each action a player can take has a different expected value. Am I happy with those values?
• Do they give the player interesting choices? Are they too rewarding, or too punishing?